Spring Statement 2025 – Headlines

    Daniel McAllister
    26th March 2025
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    Chancellor Rachel Reeves gave her Spring Statement to the House of Commons this afternoon.

    Whilst not a fiscal (tax) event we can report the following headlines:

    • Fiscal rules non-negotiable with OBR forecasting they will be met by 2027/28
    • No further tax increases
    • Increased crackdown on tax avoidance
    • Welfare savings recently announced will amount to £4.8bn
    • Universal Credit standard allowance will increase from £92 per week in the financial year 2025/26 to £106 per week by 2029/30
    • Universal Credit health element will be “cut by 50% and then frozen for new claimants
    • Defence spending to increase to 2.5% of GDP
    • Overseas aid to be cut to 0.3% of GDP
    • NHS England abolished as previously announced
    • Civil services cuts of 15% – including voluntary exits, AI use
    • Day to day government spending will increase in real terms each year
    • Capital spending announced £2bn per year extra
    • Inflation forecast as 3.2% this year, 2.1% in 2026 and under 2% from 2027
    • Growth forecast from OBR reduced from 2% to 1% for 2025
    • OBR Increased growth forecast to 1.9% in 2026, 1.8% in 2027,  1.7% in 2028 and 1.8% in 2029
    • 10% of new defence spending to be spent on new innovative technology
    • Small business access to defence contracts
    • £2bn of UK export finance to be made available for defence

    We will have a detailed summary tomorrow available on our website.

    https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/spring-statement-2025

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